Box Office Predictions – Weekend of August 21, 2015

Box Office 2015

The following is a new weekly post on I’m Jeffrey Rex, wherein Jeffrey predicts the coming weekend numbers at the box office for North America.

Summer is coming to an end, and with it comes the end of great summer films. Last weekend Straight Outta Compton had an incredibly strong first outing for a music biopic. Meanwhile, The Man From U.N.C.L.E. had a disastrous opening weekend. This weekend Straight Outta Compton should take home another win, but will The Man From U.N.C.L.E. even be in the top five?

LAST WEEKEND’S NUMBERS

  1. Straight Outta Compton (1st Wknd) – $60,200,180
  2. Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation (-39.7%) – $17,186,540
  3. The Man From U.N.C.L.E. (1st Wknd) – $13,421,036
  4. Fantastic Four (-68.2%) – $8,168,756
  5. The Gift (-45.1%) – $6,509,604

F. Gary Gray’s Straight Outta Compton was way more successful than I thought it would be, but it did take the first spot as everyone had expected. No real surprise there, but I am extremely shocked that U.N.C.L.E. only made half of what Fantastic Four made in its first weekend.

Speaking of Fantastic Four… Wow. This movie is just bombing at the North American box office… No more words for that film this week. I had hoped that The Gift would have made much more than it did last weekend, but it’s great news for that film that it remains a top five film.

WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

  1. Straight Outta Compton – $25m
  2. Sinister 2 (1st Wknd) – $13m
  3. Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation – $12m
  4. American Ultra (1st Wknd) – $11m
  5. Hitman: Agent 47 (1st Wknd) – $9m

For this prediction-section I really want to talk about the three new films, so let’s get one thing straight first: Straight Outta Compton and Mission: Impossible should see relatively strong weekends this time around, and, honestly, I wouldn’t even be surprised if they were the top two films this weekend.

I am dropping U.N.C.L.E. from my top five due to the terrible opening weekend, but there’s no critical consensus on any of the new films yet, thus anything could happen.

The original Sinister made $18m in its opening weekend, but I really don’t see that happening with the sequel. Why? It’s simple, really. Ethan Hawke isn’t doing this film. I liked the first film, so, naturally, I am intrigued by the sequel – but there’s more to it than just that. The writing team is back for the sequel, therefore it could be really interesting.

I don’t expect much from the Hitman-reboot. Look, the film might be brilliant – it might be a masterpiece – honestly, who knows? But here’s the thing: 1) the 2007-film was critically panned, and 2) Rupert Friend is not as familiar to the movie-going audience as Paul Walker was (he was originally attached to this project).

I’m closing out this weekend’s predictions with American Ultra. Hey, look at that! Another film with ‘American’ in the title. I’ve got to be honest here: the trailers haven’t done anything for me. To me this just looks like a ‘Chuck meets Pineapple Express‘ film. Also, I’m not sure that Jesse Eisenberg and Kristen Stewart will be enough for people to be intrigued by this film.

What do you predict for this weekend’s North American box office numbers? Am I way off? Sound off in the comments.

I’m Jeffrey Rex

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2 comments

  1. American Ultra will flop. No one outside of Twi-tards like her. And Eisenberg is annoying-he hasn’t shown much range.
    I predict Compton and Impossible for top two followed by Sinister then American then maybe Hitman…

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