Box Office Predictions – Nov-Dec 2015

Box Office Prediction

LAST WEEKEND’S NUMBERS

  1. Goosebumps (1st Wknd) – $23m
  2. The Martian – $21m
  3. Bridge of Spies (1st Wknd) – $15m
  4. Crimson Peak (1st Wknd) – $13m
  5. Hotel Transylvania 2 – $12m

FALL AND WINTER QUESTIONS

We are well into the final three months of 2015 – and that means Box Office Predictions (in its current format) will go on a hiatus for the rest of the year. Therefore, I’ve decided to answer the four biggest questions that I have for the rest of the year.

How much will the new James Bond film, Spectre, make in its opening weekend (North America)?

Spectre opens on the 6th of November in North America, which means that it will open against The Peanuts Movie. That’s going to be an interesting battle, but not an unfamiliar one. In Skyfall‘s opening weekend it fought with Wreck-It Ralph (on its second weekend), and still managed to score $88 million. I think Spectre will beat Skyfall, but not by much – maybe around $90-95 million.

How much will the final installment in The Hunger Games franchise, Mockingjay: Part 2, make in its opening weekend (North America)?

Interestingly, Mockingjay: Part 1 made less than both The Hunger Games and Catching Fire in its opening weekend. Still, the first Mockingjay did fight with both Big Hero 6 and Interstellar (both in their third weekend) – so I’m not going to overreact to that. I’ll say it’ll land right around $140 million.

How much will Star Wars – Episode VII: The Force Awakens make in its opening weekend (North America)?

Now, initially I didn’t think it would come that close to Jurassic World‘s record-breaking opening weekend, due to the surprising fact that no film has made more than $84 million in its opening weekend in December… But this is Star Wars, and recently both AMC, IMAX and Fandango revealed that it had already broken pre-sale records. I’m going to say it’ll beat Jurassic World, and maybe land around $215 million. Crazy, yeah, I’m aware.

Finally, will Star Wars – Episode VII: The Force Awakens beat the all-time (worldwide) record held by James Cameron’s Avatar?

I really don’t think so. $2,7 billion still feels unbelievable to me, so I can’t sign off on that one. Still, I do think it will beat Titanic ($2,1 billion) if it is good. Please be good.

Box Office Predictions is now going on a hiatus until 2016, wherein I’ll see what needs to be changed about the format. Until then – don’t forget to go to the movies!

I’m Jeffrey Rex

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