Box Office Predictions – Weekend of October 16, 2015

Box Office Prediction

LAST WEEKEND’S NUMBERS

  1. The Martian (-39.1%) – $37m
  2. Hotel Transylvania 2 (-38.5%) – $20,4m
  3. Pan (1st Wknd) – $15,3m
  4. The Intern (-25.7%) – $8,6m
  5. Sicario (-37.6%) – $7,5m

The Martian took the first spot once again, while Hotel Transylvania 2 beat Pan – and The Walk missed out on the top five entirely. But there’s so much more to it than that. The Walk needed a strong first weekend with the wide-expansion, and it just didn’t get it – just $3,7 million for the IMAX spectacle is a huge disappointment.

And here we go… Pan had a terrible, just God-awful, first weekend. Its production budget was at $150 million – and I expected it to have a bad weekend with only $22 million… But it was even worse than that. $15 million is absolutely terrible, it is embarrasing for Warner Bros..

WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

  1. Goosebumps (1st Wknd) – $24m
  2. Bridge of Spies (1st Wknd) – $19m
  3. The Martian – $16m
  4. Crimson Peak – $15m
  5. Hotel Transylvania 2 – $11m

While a lot of new films release at the end of the week, only three of them are nationwide and noticeable: Bridge of Spies, Crimson Peak, and Goosebumps. In theory, Goosebumps and Hotel Transylvania 2 should cancel each other out in the battle for number 1, but the former is based on horror books for kids – and that might push it past the competition. Bridge of Spies should land close to Captain Phillips-numbers ($25m). Crimson Peak is a real wildcard – I don’t really feel that there is a lot of hype for this film, but it is Halloween season, so maybe that will help it to number one.

What do you predict for this weekend’s North American box office numbers? Am I way off? Sound off in the comments.

I’m Jeffrey Rex

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