Box Office Predictions – Weekend of August 28, 2015

Box Office Prediction

The following is a new weekly post on I’m Jeffrey Rex, wherein Jeffrey predicts the coming weekend numbers at the box office for North America.

Straight Outta Compton should get another easy box office win, thus getting its third weekend win in a row. The only notable new entries this weekend are No Escape and We Are Your Friends, and neither of those films look that great. Looks like another post-summer low box office weekend.

LAST WEEKEND’S NUMBERS

  1. Straight Outta Compton (-56.2%) – $26,364,020
  2. Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation (-33.4%) – $11,451,746
  3. Sinister 2 (1st Wknd) – $10,542,116
  4. Hitman: Agent 47 (1st Wknd) – $8,326,530
  5. The Man From U.N.C.L.E. (-45.5%) – $7,317,374

Everything landed pretty much where it was supposed to be, with only one exception: American Ultra. Ultra didn’t even reach $6m, and it looks like people just don’t connect with Kristen Stewart and Jesse Eisenberg. I guess it is kind of sad that American Ultra was unable to beat out U.N.C.L.E., but that is the world we live in.

WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

  1. Straight Outta Compton – $15m
  2. We Are Your Friends (1st Wknd) – $9m
  3. Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation – $7m
  4. No Escape (1st Wknd) – $7m
  5. Sinister 2 – $5m

The two new wide releases should be in the top five, but I don’t see either of them really connecting. We Are Your Friends definitely goes for one audience in particular, but I’m not sure the timing is right for that audience. I see it landing around the same opening numbers that That Awkward Moment had.

I see No Escape as a wildcard this weekend. It could surprise us all, seeing as the cast is audience friendly (Owen Wilson, Pierce Brosnan) – but I don’t think it’ll go past November Man-numbers.

Obviously Straight Outta Compton will get its third weekend win in a row, and Mission: Impossible should also hang on for yet another weekend. As for last weekend’s new entries, I strongly considered dropping every last one of them, but I think Sinister 2 will hang on despite the fact that none of them really connected with audiences.

What do you predict for this weekend’s North American box office numbers? Am I way off? Sound off in the comments.

 

I’m Jeffrey Rex

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