Box Office Predictions – Weekend of July 24, 2015

Box Office 2015

The following is a new weekly post on I’m Jeffrey Rex, wherein Jeffrey predicts the coming weekend numbers at the box office for North America.

After last weekends opening win for Marvel Studios’ Ant-Man, the superhero film will have to battle with familiar foes in Minions and Jurassic World, as well as face off against new box office rivals in Paper Towns, Southpaw, and Pixels.

Seeing as this is the first post in a new series on this blog, I did not predict last weekend’s numbers. Instead, I’ll go over the basics of this new post series. Basically, each Wednesday I’ll give you my predicted top 5 box office winners for the coming weekend. Note that while I live in Europe, these predictions are for the North American box office.

LAST WEEKEND’S NUMBERS

  1. Ant-Man (1st Wknd) – $57,225,526
  2. Minions (-57.4%) – $49,274,730
  3. Trainwreck (1st Wknd) – $30,097,040
  4. Inside Out (-34.7%) – $11,544,080
  5. Jurassic World (-36.9%) – $11,454,975

Ant-Man gave Marvel Studios’ its 12th opening weekend win out of 12, even though it is its smallest opening weekend since The Incredible Hulk. Minions and Jurassic World are still strong, and it’s only a matter of time before Minions joins the $1 billion club, methinks. Trainwreck started almost as strong as Knocked Up did, and I wonder if it will do even better than that other Apatow-flick. In any case, Trainwreck hopes to not fall as far as Spy did in its second weekend ($15m).

WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

  1. Pixels (1st Wknd) – $52m
  2. Paper Towns (1st Wknd) – $37m
  3. Ant-Man – $25.65m
  4. Minions – $24.5m
  5. Trainwreck – $18.75m

I think Ant-Man will have to survive on a strong word-of-mouth, and I think it’ll probably do as good as Captain America: The First Avenger did in its second weekend. Pixels is going to be more appealing to the general public than Grown Ups or Paul Blart were, so it should make much more than either of the two – still, if Ant-Man surprises, then Pixels could really suffer, for one would think that they share an audience to an extent.

Paper Towns should have a pretty strong weekend, considering the fact that the last young adult John Green filmatization made $48m in its opening weekend. I think that Minions and Trainwreck have to be compared to Despicable Me 2 and Knocked Up respectively.

What do you predict for this weekend’s North American box office numbers? Am I way off? Sound off in the comments.

I’m Jeffrey Rex

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