Now, I still haven’t gotten a chance to see La La Land as it hasn’t been released in Denmark yet. So it’s tough for me to really say if La La Land deserves every nomination it got. But it did get a record-tying 14 nominations for the Academy Awards, which only Joseph L. Mankiewicz’s All About Eve and James Cameron’s Titanic have gotten before.
La La Land didn’t break the record, but that would’ve been pretty tough to do. It did, however, break the Golden Globes record for most wins with 7 awards. So, today I want to show you how I feel about its chances. So, is it going to break the Oscar record for most wins (11)? Well, let’s first take a look at what it’s been nominated for:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Original Score
- Best Original Song x 2
- Best Sound Mixing
- Best Sound Editing
- Best Production Design
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
Okay, first things first, let’s just take this off the table. La La Land won’t win everything it is nominated for like Return of the King did. It’s not happening. Okay, now I’m going to go over each and every award it is nominated for, and tell you how likely I think it is that La La Land will win each award. Let’s start from the bottom.
Best Film Editing – Unless Arrival goes on a run this year similar to what Mad Max: Fury Road did last year, I don’t see La La Land – and Tom Cross – losing this one. Moonlight‘s got a shot, and I guess Hacksaw Ridge has one too, but this award has La La Land written all over it.
Best Costume Design – Now, this one is much more tough. Allied ended up getting a nomination and it may end up being one of the toughest competitors. I’m not ready to reveal all of my predictions for the Oscars yet, but Jackie seems like a safe bet to win this one. It’s not impossible for La La Land, but right now I don’t see it happening. Best Cinematography – I feel like this is a three-way race to the award this year. Bradford Young (Arrival) has a chance, and Linus Sandgren (La La Land) definitely does too. Now, I still haven’t gotten a chance to watch Moonlight either as it – like La La Land – hasn’t reached Denmark yet, but if I had to make a prediction right now, I’d probably say that La La Land doesn’t win here.
Best Production Design – Now, I’m pretty confident that even if the Academy somehow doesn’t fall in love with La La Land, this is one award they’re definitely going to get.
Best Sound Editing – I would’ve thought that this was definitely going to La La Land, but I’ve seen some people online being really surprised that it was even nominated here. So, for now, I’m going to predict that it doesn’t win.
Best Sound Mixing – Here, however, it seems like La La Land is pretty safe.
Best Original Song – Okay, so – sadly for La La Land – only one of their two nominated songs can win here. I think it’ll be “City of Stars.”
Best Original Score – Ever since the Academy unfairly disqualified Arrival here, I’ve sort of just assumed La La Land would win.
Best Original Screenplay – La La Land have won a couple of screenplay awards already (most notably Critics’ Choice Awards and Golden Globes), but I’m going to be so upset if Manchester by the Sea doesn’t win this award – and, for now, I’m going to go with Manchester by the Sea.
Best Actress – Now that Amy Adams didn’t get a nomination (which is, frankly, the biggest Oscar snub this year) it’s essentially become a three-way race between Natalie Portman, Isabelle Huppert, and La La Land‘s Emma Stone. A couple of weeks ago, I was absolutely certain that Portman would win this, but the tables have turned. And right now, I’m going to go with Stone. We’ll see how I feel once we get closer to the show.
Best Actor – Casey Affleck should win this one. He was flawless in Manchester by the Sea, but, like Mel Gibson, he’s become a controversial figure, which could cost him the award. Right now, though, I don’t see it happening. I think Affleck wins, and even if he doesn’t it looks like Denzel Washington would be the second choice anyway.
Best Director – There are a lot of strong nominees here that could take it away from Damien Chazelle – including Mel Gibson – but, for now, I’m going to go with the safe pick and say Damien Chazelle wins.
Best Picture – Unless the Academy falls in love with Moonlight, the big one has La La Land written all over it.
That means right now I’m predicting that La La Land will get 8 wins from their 14 nominations, but that could change in my full predictions for the 89th Academy Awards. Now if La La Land goes 8 for 14, then it wouldn’t be the worst number of Oscar wins ever seen from 14 nominations – All About Eve ‘only’ won 6 Oscars from its 14 nominations. But 8 wouldn’t be enough to break the Oscar record for most wins.
How many Oscars do you think La La Land wins? Sound off in the comments.
– Jeffrey Rex