Oscar Predictions

This page shows my current Oscar predictions, which will not include predictions for the short film categories, as I am not well-versed in the short film landscape ahead of the final shortlists.

Please understand that many of my predictions are educated guesses, as I will not have seen many of the films when I make my early predictions. Films that I have not yet seen will be marked by an asterisk.


Last Updated: September 14th, 2018.


Best Documentary Feature

#1 – Won’t You Be My Neighbor?* – Dir. Morgan Neville.
#2 – RBG* – Dir. Betsy West & Julie Cohen.
#3 – King in the Wilderness – Dir. Peter W. Kunhardt.
#4 – Quincy* – Dir. Alan Hicks & Rashida Jones.
#5 – Three Identical Strangers* – Dir. Tim Wardle.


Best Animated Feature

#1 – Incredibles 2* – Disney/Pixar
#2 – Isle of Dogs* – Fox Searchlight
#3 – Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2* – Disney
#4 – Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse* – Sony Pictures
#5 – The Grinch* – Universal Pictures


Best Foreign Language Film

#1 – Roma* – Spanish
#2 – Cold War* – Polish
#3 – Shoplifters* – Japanese
#4 – Burning* – South Korean
#5 – Border* – Swedish


Best Makeup and Hairstyling

#1 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Focus Features
#2 – Border* – TriArt Films
#3 – Black Panther – Marvel Studios


Best Original Score

#1 – If Beale Street Could Talk – Nicholas Britell.
#2 – First Man* – Justin Hurwitz.
#3 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Max Richter.

#4 – The Other Side of the Wind* – Michel Legrand.
#5 – Black Panther – Ludwig Göransson.


Best Original Song

#1 – “The Shallow,” – A Star is Born*
#2 – “Maybe It’s Time,” – A Star is Born*
#3 – “All the Stars,” – Black Panther
#4 – “Revelation,” – Boy Erased*
#5 – “Blink (One Million Miles)” – Heart Beats Loud*


Best Sound Editing

#1 – First Man*
#2 – Black Panther

#3 – Avengers: Infinity War
#4 – A Star is Born*
#5 – Annihilation


Best Sound Mixing

#1 – A Star is Born*
#2 – First Man*
#3 – Bohemian Rhapsody*
#4 – Black Panther
#5 – Mary Poppins Returns*


Best Production Design

#1 – The Favourite*
#2 – Mary Queen of Scots*
#3 – Mary Poppins Returns*
#4 – First Man*
#5 – Black Panther


Best Visual Effects

#1 – Avengers: Infinity War
#2 – Ready Player One
#3 – First Man*
#4 – Black Panther
#5 – Solo: A Star Wars Story


Best Costume Design

#1 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Alexandra Byrne
#2 – Black Panther – Ruth E. Carter
#3 – The Favourite* – Sandy Powell
#4 – Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald* – Colleen Atwood
#5 – Peterloo* – Jacqueline Durran


Best Film Editing

#1 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Joi McMillon & Nat Sanders
#2 – First Man* – Tom Cross 
#3 – BLACKkKLANSMAN* – Barry Alexander Brown
#4 – A Star is Born* – Jay Cassidy
#5 – Roma* – Alfonso Cuarón & Adam Gough


Best Cinematography

#1 – Roma* – Alfonso Cuarón
#2 – First Man* – Linus Sandgren
#3 – A Star is Born* – Matthew Libatique
#4 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – James Laxton
#5 – Suspiria* – Sayombhu Mukdeeprom


Best Adapted Screenplay

#1 – Spike Lee et. al. – BLACKkKLANSMAN*
#2 – Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#3 – Beau Willimon – Mary Queen of Scots*
#4 – Josh Singer – First Man*
#5 – Gillian Flynn & Steve McQueen – Widows*


Best Original Screenplay

#1 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma*
#2 – Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade*
#3 – Adam McKay – VICE*
#4 – Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara – The Favourite*
#5 – Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs*


Best Supporting Actress

#1 – Amy Adams – VICE*
#2 – Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots*
#3 – Emma Stone – The Favourite*
#4 – Claire Foy – First Man*
#5 – Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk*


Best Supporting Actor

#1 – Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy*
#2 – Sam Elliott – A Star is Born*
#3 – Sam Rockwell – VICE*
#4 – Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
#5 – Daniel Kaluuya – Widows*


Best Actress in a Leading Role

#1 – Olivia Colman – The Favourite*
#2 – Lady Gaga – A Star is Born*
#3 – Saoirse Ronan – Mary Queen of Scots*

#4 – Viola Davis – Widows*
#5 – Glenn Close – The Wife*


Best Actor in a Leading Role

#1 – Christian Bale – VICE*
#2 – Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate*

#3 – Ryan Gosling – First Man*
#4 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born*

#5 – Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy*


Best Director

#1 – Damien Chazelle – First Man*
#2 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma*
#3 – Spike Lee – BLACKkKLANSMAN*

#4 – Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#5 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born*


Best Popular Film

On September 6th, 2018, the Academy postponed the introduction of the Best Popular Film category. It will not be introduced for the 91st Academy Awards, but it may still be introduced in future ceremonies.


Best Picture

#1 – First Man* – Universal Pictures.
#2 – Roma* – Netflix.
#3 – BLACKkKLANSMAN* – Focus Features.

#4 – VICE* – Annapurna Pictures.
#5 – A Star is Born* – Warner Bros. Pictures.

#6 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Annapurna Pictures.
#7 – The Favourite* – Fox Searchlight.
#8 – Widows* – 20th Century Fox.
#9 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Focus Features.
#10 – Black Panther – Marvel Studios.


– Jeffrey Rex Bertelsen


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