This page shows my current Oscar predictions, which will not include predictions for the short film categories, as I am not well-versed in the short film landscape ahead of the final shortlists.
Please understand that many of my predictions are educated guesses, as I will not have seen many of the films when I make my early predictions. Films that I have not yet seen will be marked by an asterisk.
Last Updated: November 5th, 2018.
Best Documentary Feature
#1 – Won’t You Be My Neighbor?* – Dir. Morgan Neville.
#2 – RBG* – Dir. Betsy West & Julie Cohen.
#3 – Three Identical Strangers* – Dir. Tim Wardle.
#4 – Free Solo* – Dir. Jimmy Chin & Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi.
#5 – Shirkers – Dir. Sandi Tan.
Best Animated Feature
#1 – Incredibles 2* – Disney/Pixar
#2 – Isle of Dogs* – Fox Searchlight
#3 – Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2* – Disney
#4 – Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse* – Sony Pictures
#5 – The Grinch* – Universal Pictures
Best Foreign Language Film
#1 – Roma* – Mexican (Spanish)
#2 – Cold War* – Polish
#3 – Shoplifters* – Japanese
#4 – Burning* – South Korean
#5 – Border* – Swedish
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
#1 – Border* – TriArt Films
#2 – VICE* – Annapurna Pictures
#3 – Black Panther – Marvel Studios
Best Original Score
#1 – First Man – Justin Hurwitz.
#2 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Nicholas Britell.
#3 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Max Richter.
#4 – Black Panther – Ludwig Göransson.
#5 – The Other Side of the Wind* – Michel Legrand.
Best Original Song
#1 – “Shallow,” – A Star is Born*
#2 – “I’ll Never Love Again,” – A Star is Born*
#3 – “All the Stars,” – Black Panther
#4 – “Revelation,” – Boy Erased*
#5 – “Girl in the Movies” – Dumplin’*
Best Sound Editing
#1 – First Man
#2 – Mary Poppins Returns*
#3 – A Star is Born*
#4 – Black Panther
#5 – Bohemian Rhapsody
Best Sound Mixing
#1 – A Star is Born*
#2 – First Man
#3 –Mary Poppins Returns*
#4 – Bohemian Rhapsody
#5 – Black Panther
Best Production Design
#1 – The Favourite*
#2 – Mary Poppins Returns*
#3 – First Man
#4 – Mary Queen of Scots*
#5 – Black Panther
Best Visual Effects
#1 – Mary Poppins Returns*
#2 – Avengers: Infinity War
#3 – Ready Player One
#4 – First Man
#5 – Solo: A Star Wars Story
Best Costume Design
#1 – The Favourite* – Sandy Powell
#2 – Black Panther – Ruth E. Carter
#3 – Mary Poppins Returns* – Sandy Powell
#4 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Alexandra Byrne
#5 – Green Book* – Betsy Heimann
Best Film Editing
#1 – First Man – Tom Cross
#2 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Joi McMillon & Nat Sanders
#3 – BLACKkKLANSMAN – Barry Alexander Brown
#4 – A Star is Born* – Jay Cassidy
#5 – Roma* – Alfonso Cuarón & Adam Gough
Best Cinematography
#1 – Roma* – Alfonso Cuarón
#2 – First Man – Linus Sandgren
#3 – A Star is Born* – Matthew Libatique
#4 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – James Laxton
#5 – Suspiria* – Sayombhu Mukdeeprom
Best Adapted Screenplay
#1 – Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#2 – Nicole Holofcener – Can You Ever Forgive Me?*
#3 – Josh Singer – First Man
#4 – Will Fetters, Bradley Cooper, & Eric Roth – A Star is Born*
#5 – Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, & Kevin Willmott – BLACKkKLANSMAN
Best Original Screenplay
#1 – Peter Farrelly, Brian Hayes Currie, & Nick Vallelonga – Green Book*
#2 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma*
#3 – Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade*
#4 – Adam McKay – VICE*
#5 – Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara – The Favourite*
Best Supporting Actress
#1 – Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#2 – Emma Stone – The Favourite*
#3 – Claire Foy – First Man
#4 – Amy Adams – VICE*
#5 – Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased*
Best Supporting Actor
#1 – Mahershala Ali – Green Book*
#2 – Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy*
#3 – Sam Elliott – A Star is Born*
#4 – Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
#5 – Sam Rockwell – VICE*
Best Actress in a Leading Role
#1 – Lady Gaga – A Star is Born*
#2 – Olivia Colman – The Favourite*
#3 – Viola Davis – Widows*
#4 – Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?*
#5 – Glenn Close – The Wife*
Best Actor in a Leading Role
#1 – Christian Bale – VICE*
#2 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born*
#3 – Viggo Mortensen – Green Book*
#4 – Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
#5 – Ryan Gosling – First Man
Best Director
#1 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma*
#2 – Spike Lee – BLACKkKLANSMAN
#3 – Damien Chazelle – First Man
#4 – Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#5 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born*
Best Popular Film
On September 6th, 2018, the Academy postponed the introduction of the Best Popular Film category. It will not be introduced for the 91st Academy Awards, but it may still be introduced in future ceremonies.
Best Picture
#1 – A Star is Born* – Warner Bros. Pictures.
#2 – Roma* – Netflix.
#3 – BLACKkKLANSMAN – Focus Features.
#4 – The Favourite* – Fox Searchlight.
#5 – First Man – Universal Pictures.
#6 – Green Book* – Universal Pictures.
#7 – VICE* – Annapurna Pictures.
#8 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Annapurna Pictures.
#9 – Widows* – 20th Century Fox.
#10 – Black Panther – Marvel Studios.
– Jeffrey Rex Bertelsen
