Oscar Predictions

This page shows my current Oscar predictions, which will not include predictions for the short film categories, as I am not well-versed in the short film landscape ahead of the final shortlists.

Please understand that many of my predictions are educated guesses, as I will not have seen many of the films when I make my early predictions. Films that I have not yet seen will be marked by an asterisk.


Last Updated: January 21st, 2019.


Best Documentary Feature

#1 – Won’t You Be My Neighbor?* – Dir. Morgan Neville.
#2 – RBG* – Dir. Betsy West & Julie Cohen.
#3 – Three Identical Strangers* – Dir. Tim Wardle.
#4 – Free Solo* – Dir. Jimmy Chin & Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi.
#5 – Minding the Gap* – Dir. Bing Liu.


Best Animated Feature

#1 – Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse – Sony Pictures
#2 – Incredibles 2 – Disney/Pixar

#3 – Isle of Dogs – Fox Searchlight
#4 – Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2* – Disney
#5 – Mirai* – Toho


Best Foreign Language Film

#1 – Roma – Mexican
#2 – Cold War* – Polish
#3 – Shoplifters* – Japanese
#4 – Burning* – South Korean
#5 – The Guilty – Danish


Best Makeup and Hairstyling

#1 – Border* – TriArt Films
#2 – VICE* – Annapurna Pictures

#3 – Black Panther – Disney


Best Original Score

#1 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Nicholas Britell.
#2 – First Man – Justin Hurwitz.

#3 – Black Panther – Ludwig Göransson.
#4 – Mary Poppins Returns – Marc Shaiman.
#5 – BlackKklansman – Terence Blanchard.


Best Original Song

#1 – “Shallow,” – A Star is Born
#2 – “The Place Where Lost Things Go,” – Mary Poppins Returns
#3 – “All the Stars,” – Black Panther
#4 – “Revelation,” – Boy Erased*
#5 – “When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings” – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs


Best Sound Editing

#1 – Black Panther
#2 – First Man

#3 – A Quiet Place
#4 – Ready Player One
#5 – Mission: Impossible – Fallout


Best Sound Mixing

#1 – A Star is Born
#2 – Bohemian Rhapsody
#3 – First Man

#4 – Roma
#5 – A Quiet Place


Best Production Design

#1 – The Favourite*
#2 – Mary Poppins Returns
#3 – First Man
#4 – Roma
#5 – Black Panther


Best Visual Effects

#1 – Avengers: Infinity War
#2 – Ready Player One
#3 – Black Panther
#4 – First Man
#5 – Solo: A Star Wars Story


Best Costume Design

#1 – The Favourite* – Sandy Powell
#2 – Black Panther – Ruth E. Carter
#3 – Mary Poppins Returns – Sandy Powell
#4 – Mary Queen of Scots* – Alexandra Byrne

#5 – Bohemian Rhapsody – Julian Day


Best Film Editing

#1 – First Man – Tom Cross
#2 – VICE – Hank Corwin
#3 – A Star is Born – Jay Cassidy
#4 – Roma – Alfonso Cuarón & Adam Gough
#5 – BLACKkKLANSMAN – Barry Alexander Brown


Best Cinematography

#1 – Roma – Alfonso Cuarón
#2 – A Star is Born – Matthew Libatique
#3 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – James Laxton
#4 – First Man – Linus Sandgren

#5 – Cold War* – Lukasz Zal


Best Adapted Screenplay

#1 – Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, & Kevin Willmott – BLACKkKLANSMAN
#2 – Nicole Holofcener – Can You Ever Forgive Me?*

#3 – Will Fetters, Bradley Cooper, & Eric Roth – A Star is Born
#4 – Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#5 – Ryan Coogler & Joe Robert Cole – Black Panther


Best Original Screenplay

#1 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
#2 – Adam McKay – VICE*
#3 – Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara – The Favourite*
#4 – Peter Farrelly, Brian Hayes Currie, & Nick Vallelonga – Green Book*
#5 – Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade*


Best Supporting Actress

#1 – Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk*
#2 – Amy Adams – VICE*
#3 – Emma Stone – The Favourite*

#4 – Claire Foy – First Man
#5 – Rachel Weisz – The Favourite*


Best Supporting Actor

#1 – Mahershala Ali – Green Book*
#2 – Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?*

#3 – Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy*

#4 – Adam Driver – BLACKkKLANSMAN
#5 – Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther


Best Actress in a Leading Role

#1 – Glenn Close – The Wife*
#2 – Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
#3 – Olivia Colman – The Favourite*

#4 – Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?*
#5 – Yalitza Aparicio – Roma


Best Actor in a Leading Role

#1 – Christian Bale – VICE*
#2 – Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
#3 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

#4 – Viggo Mortensen – Green Book*

#5 – John David Washington – BlackKklansman


Best Director

#1 – Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
#2 – Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
#3 – Spike Lee – BLACKkKLANSMAN
#4 – Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite*
#5 – Pawel Pawlikowski – Cold War*


Best Popular Film

On September 6th, 2018, the Academy postponed the introduction of the Best Popular Film category. It will not be introduced for the 91st Academy Awards, but it may still be introduced in future ceremonies.


Best Picture

#1 – A Star is Born – Warner Bros. Pictures.
#2 – Roma – Netflix.
#3 – Green Book* – Universal Pictures.
#4 – Bohemian Rhapsody – 20th Century Fox.
#5 – BLACKkKLANSMAN – Focus Features.
#6 – The Favourite* – Fox Searchlight.

#7 – VICE* – Annapurna Pictures.
#8 – Black Panther – Marvel Studios.

#9 – First Man – Universal Pictures.
#10 – If Beale Street Could Talk* – Annapurna Pictures.


– Jeffrey Rex Bertelsen